Rode’s Property research articles
Let us assume South Africa was a 4×2 bakkie. The two front wheels are already over the (fiscal) cliff; the two rear wheels are still on terra firma. The driver is still behind the steering wheel and is frantically engaging reverse gear – but it is a front-wheel-drive vehicle. This is where the SA economy is.
The normal short-term factors that drive house-price inflation are economic growth (real growth in disposable household income) and interest rates, as both affect affordability. Economic growth also tends to create new jobs, which boosts the demand for housing, and if the supply side (new developments) cannot keep up, prices accelerate. In a booming economy, this lag time is a real problem as the gestation period of new residential estates is about four years
The house market is not a global market like commodity markets. Thus, if house prices in Cape Town are cheap relative to Melbourne, potential buyers of houses in Melbourne do not flock to Cape Town, thereby pushing up prices in Cape Town. Put differently, fixed properties – with the emphasis on ‘fixed’ – are not globally tradeable or transportable like crude. Because one cannot live in Cape Town and commute daily to Melbourne, prices in Cape Town will not eventually – through arbitrage – equate those in Melbourne. But one can buy Saudi-Arabian crude (a transportable commodity) and deliver it in South Africa.
The State has now effectively acknowledged that the housing ‘gap’ market has grown by increasing the FLISP1 eligibility income band to R3 500-R22 000 (previously R3 500-R15 000).
Erwin Rode contemplates the law of unintended consequences when inclusionary programmes are introduced in SA and comes up with some practical suggestions
Worldwide, the tertiary or services sector of the economy — manned to a large extent by knowledge workers — is growing much faster than the manufacturing of goods (secondary sector) and the production of raw materials in the primary sector (agriculture and mining). South Africa is no exception, which goes a long way explaining the widening income gap between the poor and well-off. It’s all about knowledge and education.
If you submit plans to a municipality for approval to build a new house, undertake a major renovation or construct a new office building or shopping centre, then more than likely you are required to have a Professional Engineer involved in your project. The obligation to use an engineer emanates from the National Building Regulations and Building Standards Act 103 of 1977 and the National Standard SANS 10400: Code of Practice for the application of the National Building Regulations.
City of Cape Town Spatial Development Frameworks, 2012 and 2018: Evaluating the approach to spatial planning
Erwin Rode and Berchtwald Rode contemplate the last two 5-year Spatial Devel-opment Frameworks (SDFs) of the City of Cape Town and identify differences in the approach to spatial planning.
The swelling momentum in the affordable housing market in South Africa is evidence of robust growth in an otherwise largely flat residential sector.
Ever since the first quarter of 1993, Rode’s Report (RR) has been publishing average monthly parking rentals for office buildings by grade. In this issue of the report, we attempt to quantify the relationship between office parking and office rentals.
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